The role of social media in the stock market: twitter sentiment as a predictor of stock returns

The recent surge of emerging technologies, combined with the growth of social media securities-related microblogging, instigated academics to explore new proxies for sentiment. This research dissects the association between 1-month lagged Twitter sentiment and stock returns for the S&P500 consti...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Costa, Davide Gomes (author)
Format: masterThesis
Language:eng
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10362/140471
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:run.unl.pt:10362/140471
Description
Summary:The recent surge of emerging technologies, combined with the growth of social media securities-related microblogging, instigated academics to explore new proxies for sentiment. This research dissects the association between 1-month lagged Twitter sentiment and stock returns for the S&P500 constituents from 2008 to 2021 through the sentiment analysis of approximately 34.7million tweets. Evidence shows a consistent variation pattern of returns across the scope of the anomaly. Furthermore, abnormal returns associated with high Twitter sentiment are pervasive and significant, particularly for value-weight returns. In contrast, there is insufficient evidence on the pervasiveness of abnormal returns for low Twitter sentiment. Key words: Asset Pricing, Big Data, Sentiment Analysis, Stock Return, Investor Sentiment.