Short-term electricity prices forecasting in a competitive market by a hybrid PSO-ANFIS approach

In this paper, a novel hybrid approach is proposed for electricity prices forecasting in a competitive market, considering a time horizon of 1 week. The proposed approach is based on the combination of particle swarm optimization and adaptive-network based fuzzy inference system. Results from a case...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Pousinho, Hugo Miguel Inácio (author)
Outros Autores: Mendes, Victor (author), Catalão, João Paulo da Silva (author)
Formato: article
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2012
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.21/1878
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.ipl.pt:10400.21/1878
Descrição
Resumo:In this paper, a novel hybrid approach is proposed for electricity prices forecasting in a competitive market, considering a time horizon of 1 week. The proposed approach is based on the combination of particle swarm optimization and adaptive-network based fuzzy inference system. Results from a case study based on the electricity market of mainland Spain are presented. A thorough comparison is carried out, taking into account the results of previous publications, to demonstrate its effectiveness regarding forecasting accuracy and computation time. Finally, conclusions are duly drawn. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.