Predictive power of the term structure of interest rates over recessions in Europe

This work intends to infer for European countries the extent that anticipations of the term structure of interest rates has over recessions, as measured by factor models. For that, we model the shape of the yield curve by latent factors corresponding to its level, slope and curvature. The simple and...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Pinho, Carlos (author)
Other Authors: Madaleno, Mara (author), Maldonado, Isabel (author), Rodríguez de Prado, Francisco (author)
Format: article
Language:eng
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/11328/1838
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.uportu.pt:11328/1838