Has Portugal gone wireless? : looking back, looking ahead

This paper analyses the pattern and rate of adoption of mobile telephones by the Portuguese population. It is shown that the pattern of diffusion is S-shaped and is consistent with a logistic function, which describes a symmetrical growth process. Furthermore, it is found that about 67 percent of th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Botelho, Anabela (author)
Other Authors: Pinto, Lígia (author)
Format: workingPaper
Language:eng
Published: 2000
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1822/2035
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/2035
Description
Summary:This paper analyses the pattern and rate of adoption of mobile telephones by the Portuguese population. It is shown that the pattern of diffusion is S-shaped and is consistent with a logistic function, which describes a symmetrical growth process. Furthermore, it is found that about 67 percent of the population will likely adopt mobile phones, and that the levelling-off process in the diffusion of mobile phones has already begun. The analysis is intended to inform the larger discussion of managing the communications service, as well as to assist analysts concerned about assessing the impact of public policies in the evolution of communications sectors.