Fiscal consolidations in the Central and Eastern European countries

We study fiscal consolidations in the Central and Eastern European countries and what determines the probability of their success. We define consolidation events as substantive improvements in fiscal balances adjusting for the impact of cyclical effects. We use Logit models for the period 1991-2003...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Afonso, António (author)
Outros Autores: Nickel, Christiane (author), Rother, Philipp (author)
Formato: workingPaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2010
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2128
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/2128
Descrição
Resumo:We study fiscal consolidations in the Central and Eastern European countries and what determines the probability of their success. We define consolidation events as substantive improvements in fiscal balances adjusting for the impact of cyclical effects. We use Logit models for the period 1991-2003 to assess the determinants of the success of a fiscal adjustment. The results seem to suggest that for these countries expenditure based consolidations have tended to be more successful. By contrast, revenue based consolidations have a tendency to be less successful.