Stochastic prediction of drought class transitions

This paper aims at the stochastic characterization of droughts applying Markov chains modeling to drought class transitions derived from SPI time series. Several sites in Southern Portugal having updated data on precipitation available were considered. The drought class probabilities, the expected r...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Paulo, Ana A. (author)
Other Authors: Pereira, L.S. (author)
Format: article
Language:eng
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/5995
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/5995