Applications residual control charts based on variable limits

The main purpose of this paper is to verify the stability of a productive process in the presence of the effects of autocorrelation and volatility, in order to capture these characteristics by a joint forecast model which produces residuals that are evaluated by a control chart based on variable con...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Souza, A. (author)
Outros Autores: Souza, F. M. (author), Zanini, R. R. (author), Reichert, B. (author), Valau De Lima Junior, A. (author)
Formato: article
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2017
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/10071/13593
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.iscte-iul.pt:10071/13593
Descrição
Resumo:The main purpose of this paper is to verify the stability of a productive process in the presence of the effects of autocorrelation and volatility, in order to capture these characteristics by a joint forecast model which produces residuals that are evaluated by a control chart based on variable control limits. The methodology employed will be the joint estimation of the residuals by ARIMA – ARCH models and the conditional standard deviation from residuals to establish the chart control limits. The joint AR (1)-ARCH (1) model shows that an appropriate forecasting model brings a great contribution to the performance of residual control charts in monitoring the stability of industrial variables using just one chart to monitor mean and variance together