Recessions in Portugal: the predictive power of term structure of interest rates components

In this paper we present a study of the predictive ability of the term structure of interest rates over future recessions in Portugal. The analysis will be based on factor models in which the term structure of interest rates is determined by latent factors, corresponding to their level, slope and cu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Maldonado, Isabel (author)
Other Authors: Pinho, Carlos (author)
Format: conferenceObject
Language:eng
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/11328/2356
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.uportu.pt:11328/2356