High speed rail transport valuation

The present paper investigates the optimal timing of investment for a high speed rail (HSR) project, in an uncertain environment, using a real options analysis (ROA) framework. It develops a continuous time framework with stochastic demand that allows for the determination of the optimal timing of i...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Pimentel, Pedro (author)
Outros Autores: Azevedo-Pereira, José (author), Couto, Gualter (author)
Formato: workingPaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2018
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/4807
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.uac.pt:10400.3/4807
Descrição
Resumo:The present paper investigates the optimal timing of investment for a high speed rail (HSR) project, in an uncertain environment, using a real options analysis (ROA) framework. It develops a continuous time framework with stochastic demand that allows for the determination of the optimal timing of investment and the value of the option to defer in the overall valuation of the project. The modelling approach used is based on the differential utility provided to railway users by the HSR service.