High speed rail transport valuation

The present paper investigates the optimal timing of investment for a high speed rail (HSR) project, in an uncertain environment, using a real options analysis (ROA) framework. It develops a continuous time framework with stochastic demand that allows for the determination of the optimal timing of i...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Pimentel, Pedro (author)
Other Authors: Azevedo-Pereira, José (author), Couto, Gualter (author)
Format: workingPaper
Language:eng
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/4807
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.uac.pt:10400.3/4807
Description
Summary:The present paper investigates the optimal timing of investment for a high speed rail (HSR) project, in an uncertain environment, using a real options analysis (ROA) framework. It develops a continuous time framework with stochastic demand that allows for the determination of the optimal timing of investment and the value of the option to defer in the overall valuation of the project. The modelling approach used is based on the differential utility provided to railway users by the HSR service.