Short-term electric load forecasting using computational intelligence methods

Accurate time series forecasting is a key issue to support individual and organizational decision making. In this paper, we introduce several methods for short-term electric load forecasting. All the presented methods stem from computational intelligence techniques: Random Forest, Nonlinear Autoregr...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Jurado, Sergio (author)
Outros Autores: Peralta, J. (author), Nebot, Àngela (author), Mugica, Francisco (author), Cortez, Paulo (author)
Formato: conferencePaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2013
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/1822/31409
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/31409
Descrição
Resumo:Accurate time series forecasting is a key issue to support individual and organizational decision making. In this paper, we introduce several methods for short-term electric load forecasting. All the presented methods stem from computational intelligence techniques: Random Forest, Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Networks, Evolutionary Support Vector Machines and Fuzzy Inductive Reasoning. The performance of the suggested methods is experimentally justified with several experiments carried out, using a set of three time series from electricity consumption in the real-world domain, on different forecasting horizons.