Short-term Wind Forecasting to Support Virtual Power Player Operation
This paper proposes a wind speed forecasting model that contributes to the development and implementation of adequate methodologies for Energy Resource Man-agement in a distribution power network, with intensive use of wind based power generation. The proposed fore-casting methodology aims to suppor...
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| Other Authors: | , , |
| Format: | conferenceObject |
| Language: | eng |
| Published: |
2015
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/5890 |
| Country: | Portugal |
| Oai: | oai:recipp.ipp.pt:10400.22/5890 |
| Summary: | This paper proposes a wind speed forecasting model that contributes to the development and implementation of adequate methodologies for Energy Resource Man-agement in a distribution power network, with intensive use of wind based power generation. The proposed fore-casting methodology aims to support the operation in the scope of the intraday resources scheduling model, name-ly with a time horizon of 10 minutes. A case study using a real database from the meteoro-logical station installed in the GECAD renewable energy lab was used. A new wind speed forecasting model has been implemented and it estimated accuracy was evalu-ated and compared with a previous developed forecast-ing model. Using as input attributes the information of the wind speed concerning the previous 3 hours enables to obtain results with high accuracy for the wind short-term forecasting. |
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