Short-term Wind Forecasting to Support Virtual Power Player Operation
This paper proposes a wind speed forecasting model that contributes to the development and implementation of adequate methodologies for Energy Resource Man-agement in a distribution power network, with intensive use of wind based power generation. The proposed fore-casting methodology aims to suppor...
| Autor principal: | |
|---|---|
| Outros Autores: | , , |
| Formato: | conferenceObject |
| Idioma: | eng |
| Publicado em: |
2015
|
| Assuntos: | |
| Texto completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/5890 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Oai: | oai:recipp.ipp.pt:10400.22/5890 |
| Resumo: | This paper proposes a wind speed forecasting model that contributes to the development and implementation of adequate methodologies for Energy Resource Man-agement in a distribution power network, with intensive use of wind based power generation. The proposed fore-casting methodology aims to support the operation in the scope of the intraday resources scheduling model, name-ly with a time horizon of 10 minutes. A case study using a real database from the meteoro-logical station installed in the GECAD renewable energy lab was used. A new wind speed forecasting model has been implemented and it estimated accuracy was evalu-ated and compared with a previous developed forecast-ing model. Using as input attributes the information of the wind speed concerning the previous 3 hours enables to obtain results with high accuracy for the wind short-term forecasting. |
|---|