Internet traffic forecasting using neural networks

The forecast of Internet traffic is an important issue that has received few attention from the computer networks field. By improving this task, efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools can be created, resulting in economic gains from better resource management. This paper presents...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Rocha, Miguel (author)
Outros Autores: Sousa, Pedro (author), Cortez, Paulo (author), Rio, Miguel (author)
Formato: conferencePaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2006
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6581
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/6581
Descrição
Resumo:The forecast of Internet traffic is an important issue that has received few attention from the computer networks field. By improving this task, efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools can be created, resulting in economic gains from better resource management. This paper presents a Neural Network Ensemble (NNE) for the prediction of TCP/IP traffic using a Time Series Forecasting (TSF) point of view. Several experiments were devised by considering real-world data from two large Internet Service Providers. In addition, different time scales (e.g. every five minutes and hourly) and forecasting horizons were analyzed. Overall, the NNE approach is competitive when compared with other TSF methods (e.g. Holt-Winters and ARIMA).