Parameter estimation of state space models for univariate observations

This paper contributes to the problem of estimation of state space model parameters by proposing estimators for the mean, the autoregressive parameters and the noise variances which, contrarily to maximum likelihood, may be calculated without assuming any specific distribution for the errors. The es...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Costa, Marco (author)
Other Authors: Alpuim, Teresa (author)
Format: article
Language:eng
Published: 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10773/8410
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:ria.ua.pt:10773/8410
Description
Summary:This paper contributes to the problem of estimation of state space model parameters by proposing estimators for the mean, the autoregressive parameters and the noise variances which, contrarily to maximum likelihood, may be calculated without assuming any specific distribution for the errors. The estimators suggested widen the scope of the application of the generalized method of moments to some heteroscedastic models, as in the case of state-space models with varying coefficients, and give sufficient conditions for their consistency. The paper includes a simulation study comparing the proposed estimators with maximum likelihood estimators. Finally, these methods are applied to the calibration of the meteorological radar and estimation of area rainfall.