Predicting the equity risk premium using the smooth cross-sectional tail risk: the importance of correlation

I provide a new monthly cross-sectional measure of stock market tail risk, SCSTR, defined as the average of the daily cross-sectional tail risk, rather than the tail risk of the pooled daily returns within a month. Through simulations, I find that SCSTR better captures monthly tail risk rather than...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Faias, José Afonso (author)
Format: article
Language:eng
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/38328
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.ucp.pt:10400.14/38328