The interplay between monetary and fiscal policies in the EU

We study the interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in the EU countries, for the period 1995-2019. Our results show notably that: i) the inflation rate has a relevant impact over the central banks’ decision making; ii) the cyclically adjusted primary balance reacts positively to increases...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Afonso, António (author)
Outros Autores: Sousa, Alexandre (author)
Formato: workingPaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2020
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/20665
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/20665
Descrição
Resumo:We study the interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in the EU countries, for the period 1995-2019. Our results show notably that: i) the inflation rate has a relevant impact over the central banks’ decision making; ii) the cyclically adjusted primary balance reacts positively to increases in the level of government debt; iii) monetary policy reaction functions do not seem to take into consideration the cyclically adjusted primary balance; iv) fiscal policy, via the cyclically adjusted primary balance, seem to be affected by the short-term interest rate in a negative way. The global economic and financial crisis impacted negatively both the short-term nominal interest rates and the cyclically adjusted primary balance, however with a higher degree in the euro area.