NONLINEAR DYNAMICS WITHIN MACROECONOMIC FACTORS AND STOCK MARKET IN PORTUGAL, 1993-2003

The main objective of this paper is to assess how mutual information as a measure of global dependence between stock markets and macroeconomic factors can overcome some of the weaknesses of the traditional linear approaches commonly used in this context. One of the advantages of mutual information i...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Dionísio, Andreia (author)
Other Authors: Menezes, Rui (author), Mendes, Diana (author), Vidigal da Silva, Jacinto (author)
Format: article
Language:eng
Published: 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10174/1803
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/1803
Description
Summary:The main objective of this paper is to assess how mutual information as a measure of global dependence between stock markets and macroeconomic factors can overcome some of the weaknesses of the traditional linear approaches commonly used in this context. One of the advantages of mutual information is that it does not require any prior assumption regarding the specification of a theoretical probability distribution or the specification of the dependence model. This study focuses on the Portuguese stock market where we evaluate the relevance of the macroeconomic and financial variables as determinants of the stock prices behaviour. JEL Classification: C14, C22, C32 Keywords: Nonlinear dependence, mutual information, macroeconomic and financial factors.