On the behaviour of voters and politicians: municipal elections and the economy
This thesis investigates the behaviour of politicians and voters in local elections. The first paper studies the effects of campaigning when public funding covers a sizeable share of spending. It develops a probabilistic voting model and a causal, instrumental variable, empirical analysis using a no...
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| Formato: | doctoralThesis |
| Idioma: | eng |
| Publicado em: |
2019
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| Texto completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10362/69913 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Oai: | oai:run.unl.pt:10362/69913 |
| Resumo: | This thesis investigates the behaviour of politicians and voters in local elections. The first paper studies the effects of campaigning when public funding covers a sizeable share of spending. It develops a probabilistic voting model and a causal, instrumental variable, empirical analysis using a novel database of political campaigns from the Portuguese Constitutional Court. The second paper is a field-experiment that evaluates the impact of the information conveyed by the media to the voters on their political perceptions and voting behaviour. In the last, I use the fact that mayors increase spending in election years to estimate the local economic impacts of increased expenditure. |
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