Genetic and evolutionary algorithms for time series forecasting

Nowadays, the ability to forecast the future, based only on past data, leads to strategic advantages, which may be the key to success in organizations. Time Series Forecasting allows the modeling of complex systems as black-boxes, being a focus of attention in several research arenas such as Operati...

ver descrição completa

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Cortez, Paulo (author)
Outros Autores: Rocha, Miguel (author), Neves, José (author)
Formato: conferencePaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2001
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/1822/2223
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorium.sdum.uminho.pt:1822/2223
Descrição
Resumo:Nowadays, the ability to forecast the future, based only on past data, leads to strategic advantages, which may be the key to success in organizations. Time Series Forecasting allows the modeling of complex systems as black-boxes, being a focus of attention in several research arenas such as Operational Research, Statistics or Computer Science. On the other hand, Genetic and Evolutionary Algorithms (GEAs) are a novel technique increasingly used in Optimization and Machine Learning tasks. The present work reports on the forecast of several Time Series, by GEA based approaches, where Feature Analysis, based on statistical measures is used for dimensionality reduction. The handicap of the evolutionary approach is compared with conventional forecasting methods, being competitive.