Economic policy uncertainty and stock return momentum

This paper investigates the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU), an index capturing newspaper coverage of policy-related issues, and momentum profits. Momentum remains an unexplained anomaly. Our findings reveal a statistically negative association between EPU and hedge momentum p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Goel, Garima (author)
Other Authors: Dash, Saumya Ranjan (author), Mata, Mário Nuno (author), Caleiro, António Bento (author), Xavier Rita, João (author), Filipe, José António (author)
Format: article
Language:eng
Published: 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.15/3485
Country:Portugal
Oai:oai:repositorio.ipsantarem.pt:10400.15/3485
Description
Summary:This paper investigates the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU), an index capturing newspaper coverage of policy-related issues, and momentum profits. Momentum remains an unexplained anomaly. Our findings reveal a statistically negative association between EPU and hedge momentum portfolios. The short side portfolio dominates this effect as compared to the long side. EPU is statistically significant after controlling for macroeconomic variables. Furthermore, the paper conducts a battery of time series analysis, which highlights that EPU has a causal relationship with the hedge portfolio in the short run. On the other hand, the hedge portfolio has a long-term relationship with EPU, not the other way around.