Current account balance cyclicality

We assess the cyclicality of current account balances for the period 2001Q1-2014Q4, focussing on Portugal and in Germany, as a benchmark. We find that the cyclical component of the current account was positively explained by 3-months Euribor, but negatively by the financial crisis, systemic stress i...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Afonso, António (author)
Outros Autores: Silva, Jorge (author)
Formato: workingPaper
Idioma:eng
Publicado em: 2016
Assuntos:
Texto completo:http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/12203
País:Portugal
Oai:oai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/12203
Descrição
Resumo:We assess the cyclicality of current account balances for the period 2001Q1-2014Q4, focussing on Portugal and in Germany, as a benchmark. We find that the cyclical component of the current account was positively explained by 3-months Euribor, but negatively by the financial crisis, systemic stress in Europe, employment and compensation of employees. Moreover, the non-cyclical current account was positively affected by the period of the Economic and Financial Adjustment Program and the terms of trade, but negatively influenced by financial integration.